Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 3.194505 3.545324 3.925275 4.368428 4.872449 5.429414 6.093592
2025-05-11 2.699631 3.172176 3.720102 4.406512 5.249143 6.257154 7.565321
2025-05-18 2.384207 2.919983 3.573058 4.436077 5.559048 6.988117 8.972425
2025-05-25 2.093185 2.645772 3.345691 4.309954 5.623929 7.381525 9.961470
2025-06-01 1.895841 2.461489 3.201859 4.259316 5.759830 7.857991 11.096741
2025-06-08 1.743803 2.317852 3.091225 4.231827 5.910362 8.354270 12.306464
2025-06-15 1.671818 2.273559 3.107479 4.377030 6.314638 9.253592 14.239205
2025-06-22 1.561752 2.164701 3.020296 4.358219 6.464634 9.774482 15.629323
2025-06-29 1.458679 2.056644 2.923427 4.312215 6.561824 10.214063 16.932997
2025-07-06 1.323529 1.891203 2.727961 4.094693 6.359381 10.133999 17.303186
2025-07-13 1.261970 1.831250 2.686779 4.115844 6.547697 10.728949 18.979422
2025-07-20 1.219580 1.797046 2.681789 4.193288 6.835660 11.525526 21.152146
2025-07-27 1.177649 1.762092 2.675073 4.270780 7.138172 12.396868 23.645163
2025-08-03 1.131840 1.717887 2.650110 4.314729 7.384934 13.194747 26.127814
2025-08-10 1.087227 1.672412 2.619275 4.344705 7.607240 13.970157 28.696594
2025-08-17 1.018374 1.582835 2.508348 4.221842 7.525853 14.125743 29.884741
2025-08-24 0.968350 1.521494 2.441137 4.172463 7.580834 14.565397 31.813584
2025-08-31 0.926080 1.470687 2.388631 4.145644 7.676933 15.101707 34.074611
2025-09-07 0.913895 1.470348 2.424119 4.287322 8.129319 16.470904 38.728204
2025-09-14 0.877788 1.426379 2.378837 4.268970 8.244867 17.096853 41.538868
2025-09-21 0.840294 1.377928 2.322422 4.224084 8.298646 17.585399 44.068621
2025-09-28 0.781609 1.289032 2.187078 4.011820 7.967518 17.119059 43.763453
2025-10-05 0.758753 1.263278 2.167291 4.032462 8.156019 17.940028 47.451436